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Author: Patrick Hill

Stock Buybacks Spike Executive Pay at Expense of Workers & Economy: End Buybacks

Bank Run 1873 Frankfurt_1873

The View:

While CEO pay is at an all-time high at 290 times average worker pay (vs 20 times in the 1950s), CEOs are boosting their stock incentive base pay by offering corporate bonds (increasing corporate debt) to create cash to make stock purchases. By making stock purchases, they can artificially soak up shares in the stock market, manipulating an increase in share price and thus boost their pay.  Corporations are spending $391B year to date ($553B all of 2014) on these stock buyback programs according to Birinyi Associates. Since 2004, corporations have spent $6.9 trillion in stock buybacks and 54 % of their profits over the last decade, according to the Academic Research Industry Network.  Between 2006 and 2014, 500 of the highest paid corporate executives received 76 % of their income from stock based compensation. Finally, stock purchases correlate with the surge of the S & P 500 stocks over the past 7 years since the Great Recession, in analysis by Business Insider. Though, for the past few months stock buybacks have fallen off to 2012 levels, which may mean market share prices will fall without these corporate buying programs propping prices up.

What’s the problem with these buybacks?  First, executives are putting their corporate viability at risk by borrowing at low interest rates to build cash when at the same time over the past 6 quarters S & P 500 companies have seen a decline in earnings by an average of 3.5 %.  As earnings decline combined with debt servicing can cause a future cash flow crunch. Second, they are not spending this cash to make investments in employees, equipment or research and development to increase productivity – which would raise the standard of living and help bring employee pay back into line with the norms prior to the 1980s. Third, this practice is really a form of insider trading (timing not disclosed to average investors) of up to 25 % of daily trading volume. Executives are violating their fiduciary responsibility to shareholders to ensure investments are made for the future viability and growth of the enterprise versus their own financial gain. Fourth, in 1993 the Clinton administration gave companies permission to deduct from corporate taxable income executive pay over $1M if it was linked to corporate performance – stock price.  So, in effect we are all subsidizing corporate executive pay, when we pay our fair share of taxes and corporations do not. Fifth, these buybacks are artificially inflating stock share prices, making it difficult for average investors to know what the real price of stocks should be, and creating a market bubble that will eventually burst.

Let’s end corporate stock buybacks:

  1. Support Senator Tammy Baldwin’s request to SEC Chair Mary Jo  White     to tighten stock repurchases regulations and to gather stock repurchase information from corporations by writing to the SEC.
  1. Work with major university endowment administrators to stop purchasing stock of top stock buyback firms including: Apple, Microsoft, Pfizer, Gilead Sciences, Boeing and others, until they eliminate the stock buyback practice (sign a pledge too).
  1. Identify and develop plans with progressive corporate executives to not perform stock buybacks, and take a pledge not to in the future.
  1. Run a US financial community PR campaign highlighting the successes of non-stock buyback corporations, identify surrogate spokespersons, and run ‘events’ to keep the topic in the mainstream media to shift the public discourse on stock buybacks.

The Story:

Stock buybacks were viewed by the SEC from 1934 to 1982 as stock manipulation and fraud, with a limit of 15 percent of share volume on any given day, and required disclosure when buybacks were made. In 1982, John Shad, SEC Chairman, was previously the vice chairman of EF Hutton, and the first SEC Chair to be named from the industry in 20 years by President Ronald Reagan. Mr. Shad was a major contributor to Mr. Reagan’s New York campaign. Shad removed these stock buyback restrictions allowing CEOs to perform buybacks in secret, with disclosure only in hard to find filings at the end of the each quarter. In that year, the SEC adopted rule 10b-18 which holds corporations harmless from allegations of stock price manipulation due to stock repurchases. Plus, conformance is voluntary and does not require repurchase data reporting! Voluntary reporting was noted by the current SEC Chair Mary Jo White to Senator Tammy Baldwin in a reply to an earlier request for increased policy enforcement of stock purchase regulations.

There is a correlation with stock purchases by corporations and stock market performance.  This chart that appeared in Business Insider shows a correlation that is hard to miss (right click to enlarge image):

Stock buybacks correlate to Stock Market ride

While, it can be argued that stock buyback purchases are not the only factor driving the market (Federal Reserve keeping interest rates near zero is another), certainly to any reasonable observer the pumping of $6 trillion dollars into the stock market since 2004 and 54 % of corporate profits of S & P 500 corporations has to have some impact.

Earnings are fading, at an average of – 3.5% per quarter for the last 6 quarters.  So, where do corporations get the cash to do stock buybacks?  By issuing corporate bonds, which in the month of August have hit a new record high for just the first six days of the month at $70 billion, when an in an average month is $125 billion. Here is a chart on the just the month of August compared to past years ( right click to enlarge image):

Corp bond issuance hit new highs in Aug 16

So after getting the cash they need, CEOs perform stock buybacks and get well compensated for doing so. The pumping up of stock prices to increase executive pay is a standard executive compensation practice, some examples are particularly capricious.  Pfizer CEO, Ian Read between 2011 and 2015 enjoyed $76.8 million in compensation, of which 63 % was in stock shares. During this time Pfizer made $44.7 billion in stock buybacks.  For the same period Pfizer only paid $16 billion in US income taxes. This $44.7 billion is not invested in research, development, cost reductions in operations or employee pay – instead is used for stock price manipulation.  It is not hard to fathom given the magnitude of the miss application of investments that more effective and productive investments would benefit all patients, employees, stockholders and give us lower drug prices!  Plus, the US government would have more tax generated funds if a provision adopted in the Clinton administration in 1993 were eliminated to allow corporations to to deduct from corporate taxable income executive pay over $1M if it was linked to corporate performance (stock price).  Finally, when executives allocate resources that benefit only themselves and a few shark investors, they are acting in violation of their fiduciary responsibility to all shareholders, employees, customers and the public to focus on ensuring the future growth and development of the enterprise.

Some industry observers see the perils of stock buybacks to the stock market and economy.  Ben Silverman, VP of Research at Insider Score, that tracks buybacks says that buybacks mask managements’ inability to grow the business and be innovative thinkers.  Professor William Lazonick, University of Massachusetts, further observes that buybacks have the potential to push the economy into a recession, as companies are using stock buybacks to boost share prices instead of investing in their business for future stability and long term growth.

What should be done about stock buybacks by corporations?  Professor William Lazonick, recommends that we recognize that the ‘safe harbor’ provision 10b-18 is really a shelter for stock manipulation.  He suggests the provision be repealed.  Agreed.  Let’s take stock price manipulation by corporate executives out of the markets so we can have a fair stock market setting prices on real demand and supply, rather than price set by corporate manipulation. Since July of 2015, Senator Tammy Baldwin has been working on this issue with SEC Chair Mary Jo White.

The Action:

  1. Support Senator Tammy Baldwin’s request to SEC Chair Mary Jo  White     to tighten stock repurchases regulations and to gather stock repurchase information from corporations by writing to the SEC.
  1. Work with major university endowment administrators to stop purchasing stock of top stock buyback firms including: Apple, Microsoft, Pfizer, Gilead Sciences, Boeing and others, until they eliminate the stock buyback practice (sign a pledge too).
  1. Identify and develop plans with progressive corporate executives to not perform stock buybacks, and take a pledge not to in the future.
  1. Run a US financial community PR campaign highlighting the successes of non-stock buyback corporations, identify surrogate spokespersons, and run ‘events’ to keep the topic in the mainstream media to shift the public discourse on stock buybacks.

 

Build Countervailing Labor Power: Let’s Demonstrate How It Works, Prototype

Evolution of Democracy image

The View:

From a big picture economic perspective, we can’t wait any longer to build democratic capitalism. The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates almost to zero since 2008, which has fueled the stock market, helped corporations borrow money at cheap rates, and allowed them to do stock buybacks to manipulate the stock price – benefiting the Elite.  The Middle Class continues to lose ground with percentage of net household wealth at its lowest point last seen in 1941!. Recent Gallup Poll figures show the real unemployment rate (including those that want to work ad can’t or have dropped out of looking for work) at 9.7 %.  Job automation and virtualization marches on, cars may drive themselves – reducing the need for taxi drivers, factories continue automation, the Internet provides access to low cost workers and contracted skill sets, and virtualization means fewer face to face contacts (reducing the number of jobs in the hospitality industry for example). New business formations have dramatically dropped a key engine of job growth versus major corporations.

What labor model can provide us insight?   The German labor policy supports worker councils in partnership with management, short term hours (meaning when there is a recession all workers reduce their hours and are still employed), child care is available to help mother’s balance work-family life, and summer 4 week vacations support family life. New high value jobs are created, and Germany has a net export economy (more goods and services are exported than imported). During the 2009 recession unemployment rates actually went down in Germany from 2007 levels!  Workers took shorter hours, instead of being laid off.  Prior to the Great Recession workers established a countervailing balance of power with corporate management.

So, how do we create labor equality and economic upward mobility?  We need progressive programs jump started and headed in the right direction.  Who will lead? Today, our Congress is gridlocked, with little leadership in providing vision, or investing in programs to support the growth of the Middle Class. Waiting for government to take the first step will be a long political process (though worth doing in parallel).  Corporations are at the highest level of cash hoarding in the last 10 yrs at $1.3 Trillion, and benefit by investing in automation resulting in increases in productivity. Corporations have no interest to shift investments toward worker development or creating new corporate governance programs sharing management.

Take action now!  How do we get started? Bring together NGOs, advocacy groups, wealthy progressive leaders, enlightened corporations focused on worker development and build a proof of concept or prototype of a democratic capitalist region.  Programs would be built in cooperation with progressive corporations creating worker development initiatives, short term hours, training, career development, $15 an hour wages.  Create transparency in corporate stock programs, ending extraordinary CEO pay, worker – management councils, offer child care at reasonable rates, provide vacation options. Offer low cost or free 4-yr public college education programs, and low cost student loans with reasonable terms. Focus on how to support workers dislocated by job loss in retraining, and new workers gaining skills to compete. We need to create incubators and programs developing new businesses in a variety of sectors not just technology. Where do we setup these programs? Possible proof of concept regions with progressive leaders: Seattle, San Francisco, Austin, Boston.  Nick Hanauer’s team has been working in the Seattle area – Civic Ventures.

The Story:

The Federal Reserve has been priming the economy with near zero interest rates since the 2008 recession by itself, with little worker or infrastructure investment by Congress or corporations.  Low interest rates has created a very low cost of capital used by Wall Street to inflate stock values and corporate executives to borrow money, sometimes to perform stock buybacks to keep stock prices high.  Who benefits?  The top 10 % in population (generally very wealthy) holds 81 % of all stock investments, so they have been the big beneficiaries (Forbes, May 2015) creating more inequality.

The Middle – Class continues to lose ground as this chart from Saez and Zucman, NBER, 2016 indicates (click on the image make larger):

Piketty split - wealth inequality

The bottom 90 % has continued to lose ground while the top .1 % has increased their share of household wealth, it even accelerates after the Great Recession.  We see few programs being put in place to change this paradigm.

Recent Gallup Poll figures show the Real Unemployment rate is actually 9.7 % (vs. reported unemployment rate of 4.7%) when figures for those who have stopped looking for work, or a worker who works a minimum of 1 hr per week and receives $20 in compensation are included. Gallup has created a Good Jobs (percentage of population in 30 hr week job with regular paycheck) indicator now at 46.1% has been been moving sideways since 2010.

Job creation has been driven by the formation of new businesses, however the formation of new businesses is at an all-time low, with business closings actually ahead of new business formations (click on the image to make larger):

New business formations til 2010

The present rules of the game tipped toward major corporations, franchises, and box stores make it extremely difficult for new businesses to form in many regions.

In addition to new business formulation, overall where will new jobs be created, we need to look at trends in virtualization and automation.  Driverless cars – mean fewer taxi drivers, factory automation (ie. Amazon is deploying robot automation to all 10 of its distribution centers across the US), requires fewer handlers.  Virtualization will mean fewer face to face contacts (robots delivering food to rooms for example) in customer services, impacting the hospitality industry among others. A trend we need to face is the continuing reduction in labor force participation due to fewer jobs, as Bill Gross points out that labor participation was at a peak of 82% in 2000 and in 2015 down to 78% translating into a 6M job loss. What kind of future labor policy, and programs in partnership with corporations do we want for democratic capitalism?

What labor policy model seems to be working demonstrating basic democratic capitalism principles?  The experience of Germany during the Great Recession is helpful to trigger some ideas. .  John Schmitt, CEPR (Center for Economic and Policy Research) outlines how German labor policy established a resilient response to the crisis even though it suffered a painful recession deeper than the US.  Prior to the recession, Germany already had 63 % of its work force under collective bargaining agreements vs. the US at 13 %. They were able to have this high percentage of collective bargaining in place, yet raise real average worker salaries by 35 % since 1985 (Saving Capitalism pg 127, Robert Reich). Germany is running a net export economy at $20B in 2016 (without having to hollow out their Middle Class jobs).  Their resilience was in the offering short-time work agreements to reduce the number of hours worked vs. layoffs. When I worked at HP in the mid – 1980s during a recession then, we reduced hours by 10 % by not working the 10th day, yet we were requested to voluntarily work on the that day to get new products out and build sales.  We were successful in jumping ahead of competitors and opening new product lines and sales because the work force was in place when demand increased.

It works, but management has to work harder at developing new markets, creating demand, and competitive value propositions. Germany has moderate employment legal protection at 3.0 based on an OECD 6 point scale (with 6 the greatest protection in terms of severance pay, advanced notification of dismissal and legal process). The US is at .2 the very lowest of all OECD countries. So, the US has some labor policy work ahead. Other labor policies that are implemented include low cost child care, longer vacations than in the US, worker councils sharing management of corporate policies, and

We need action now!   Where is it going to come from?  Congress is controlled by the GOP, with no interest in creating a democratic capitalist economy but continuing the present oligarchy run by the Elite.  Our two presumed presidential nominees have the the highest unfavorable ratings of all presidential candidates in the last 30 years – they carry little mandate for change.  Corporations are now sitting on over $1.3 Trillion in cash, yet with limited investment in technology have been able to achieve increases in productivity to drive profits returned to shareholders. I have participated in corporate councils, and see corporations making de facto employee policy decisions every day, and planning 5 – 10 years ahead. We need to be thinking ahead too, looking out for workers welfare working with progressive corporations.  We can change minds with results from a proof of concept program, while we continue political change, at a certain point in time there will be a tipping point in citizen opinion and the laws will get passed.

The Action:

By moving ahead now, we can show results much quicker, with measures to support advocacy programs.  First, we take a baseline survey or analysis of the region along the line of the parameters our programs will change ie former manufacturing workers who can’t find work, implement retraining, corporate partnerships, get these workers jobs and then survey the results.

We focus our efforts in specific regions to have impact ‘narrow and deep’ vs. wide and shallow. Regions with progressive leadership as possible project areas include: Seattle, San Francisco, Austin, and Boston. Nick Hanauer’s team has been working in the Seattle area – Civic Ventures.

Working in partnership NGOs, advocacy groups, local government and progressive corporations key programs can be designed, implemented and evaluated for worker development, short term hours, training career development and $15 hr wage.  New levels of transparency and management policy sharing in stock programs, CEO pay, worker-management councils, child care at reasonable cost, with longer vacation/off time options (HP, Tandem and other Silicon Valley companies used to offer sabbatical leaves for personal development).  Develop low cost or free public college education programs.  Assist students in converting student loans to reasonable interest rates and suitable payoff policies with local banks.  To support new business formation; we provide new business incubators, with local business leader support, venture financing and business in a variety of business sectors not just technology.

When we bring together NGOs, advocacy groups, progressive politicians, foundations, wealthy progressive leaders, corporations to build a prototype example of democratic capitalism we are building countervailing power for labor.

 

 

Entrepreneurship Can Tip the Inequality Scale

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The View:

We focus on changes in laws, representatives and programs to create change and re-balance the scales back even for the rest of us. Yet, sometimes there is an entrepreneurship opportunity to even things up.  One entrepreneur, Brad Katsuyama, CEO founded IEX, a private stock exchange is making trading more equitable.  His firm offers a service that inserts a short pause for all traders to at the same time seeing the latest bid/ask price.  This approach puts all investors on an equal playing field when it comes to trading stocks – whereas today, flash traders with special links to the NY Stock Exchange and NASDAQ can get ahead of regular investors like you and me. These high frequency traders can make thousands and sometimes millions of dollars in a blink of an eye.  The exchanges and flash trading firms are fighting the SEC application by IEX to be a fully regulated exchange and thus compete with the major exchanges. Surprise! The IEX application was just approved today after much lobbying by investor groups, pensioners and New York Times editorial.  Let the SEC know that you support the IEX approval at the link in the Action section of this post as Wall Street is planning to appeal the decision.

The Story:

Flash trading provides the Elite the best price, for either selling or buying ahead of the rest of us.  Michael Lewis in his 2014 book, Flash Boys: The Wall Street Revolt, outlines in depth how flash trading –  dark pool flash exchanges (off premise from the NYSE and NASDAQ) now execute about 60% of all trades. The hedge funds, wealthy investors and major pension funds looking for an edge over the average investor (who does not have access to these flash trading systems) establish the rules of a public stock market in their own favor.  However, companies like IEX challenge this unfair system of trading. The trading Elite can’t have this insurgent firm changing the rules of the game so they are fighting to keep their advantage.

This flash trading system is dangerous to trading as well, on May 6, 2010 the markets crashed precipitously for 38 minutes while some shares were forced down to pennies a share with instant losses in the trillions of dollars.  A 2015 Department of Justice investigation found that while flash trading may not have started the crash, it was driven down hard by high frequency traders.

The SEC is chartered with ensuring the efficient operation of the markets and fairness for all traders (even small investors) to display bid/ask prices.  Exchanges have offered services to provide traders with real time pricing information – readily available to all.  However, high frequency traders (HFT)  operate private exchanges off the public exchange floors. HFT traders float small orders as signals to other HFT traders that there is a big order waiting, to execute a deal not available to the small or non HFT trader. By executing these ‘hidden’ trades HFT traders were able to skirt SEC regulations on open fair market trading published in 2005.

IEX was founded four years ago, as a private exchange to prove that a ‘speed bump’ to pause HFT would make the market fairer for all yet executing trades efficiently. Last year, IEX applied to the SEC to be a national regulated market.  Their application was supported by some major market players like T Price Rowe, the Texas Teachers Association, California Teachers Association, Franklin Templeton and others. The IEX application posed a threat to the established partnership of HFTs and the NYSE, NASDAQ and the fees that the exchanges receive.

The Elite still want the playing field tipped their way:

Allowing IEX to become an exchange would create additional complexity in a marketplace that is already criticized — rightly — as too complex,” said Bill Harts, President, Modern Markets Initiative, that represents HFTs.  They say it is inefficient – for them!  What about the rest of the trading community!

Today’s SEC decision is a win by tipping the scales back toward fairness and equity. We can’t let our guard down.

IEX is a good example for us to learn from: entrepreneurship in inequitable situations where there is a good opportunity for both making money and balancing the scales can challenge Wall Street.   Eric Ries, Silicon Valley entrepreneur and author of The Lean Startup, has proposed a Long Term Stock Exchange where the long term perspective is the focus, not short term IPO stock flipping or quarterly earnings results used as hammers by Wall Street on CEOs.  Maybe Eric would consider adding employee partnership as a principle, as he notes that management would like to see employees take a long term perspective. One idea is we recruit CEOs and founders who have a progressive corporate perspective.  Where it is not feasible to create for-profit firms then social entrepreneurship can offer great results as well.

The Action:

  1. Let the SEC know that you support the IEX application and open fair markets, write a comment on their regulations
  1. Join or follow Progressive Business Owners at their FB site.

Update:  Other Entrepreneurial Initiatives – Inequality

Startup Helps Teachers Afford Homes Landed founded in 2015, by Stanford grads Alex Lofton and Jonathan Asmis to help all types of home buyers, by bringing together investors who want to help out and potential home buyers. They plan to operate throughout California, though for the last five months they have focused their efforts on SF Bay Area school districts and teachers.

 

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